Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.175013 0.197394 0.220983 0.247643 0.276882 0.307917 0.343291
2025-05-11 0.147046 0.177572 0.211503 0.251827 0.298239 0.349782 0.411141
2025-05-18 0.128543 0.164663 0.206681 0.258753 0.321111 0.392931 0.481415
2025-05-25 0.110027 0.148944 0.196158 0.256945 0.332360 0.422043 0.535873
2025-06-01 0.095849 0.136558 0.187884 0.256279 0.343840 0.450925 0.590385
2025-06-08 0.084209 0.125900 0.180392 0.255338 0.354061 0.477865 0.642818
2025-06-15 0.076895 0.120071 0.178348 0.260764 0.372054 0.514665 0.708403
2025-06-22 0.068912 0.112362 0.172902 0.260877 0.382544 0.541700 0.761925
2025-06-29 0.061973 0.105368 0.167697 0.260636 0.392078 0.567341 0.813993
2025-07-06 0.055960 0.099089 0.162878 0.260351 0.401142 0.592252 0.865454
2025-07-13 0.051535 0.094778 0.160496 0.263195 0.414398 0.622963 0.925324
2025-07-20 0.048616 0.092554 0.160986 0.270097 0.433492 0.662087 0.997580
2025-07-27 0.044491 0.088082 0.157874 0.271668 0.445299 0.692013 1.058969
2025-08-03 0.041523 0.085268 0.157121 0.276703 0.462305 0.729748 1.132340
2025-08-10 0.039377 0.083665 0.158154 0.284478 0.483608 0.774202 1.216391
2025-08-17 0.035644 0.078803 0.153407 0.282683 0.490090 0.797118 1.270009
2025-08-24 0.032503 0.074694 0.149581 0.282051 0.498163 0.822417 1.327543
2025-08-31 0.029626 0.070769 0.145743 0.281081 0.505502 0.846644 1.383926
2025-09-07 0.028053 0.069258 0.146027 0.286978 0.523891 0.887925 1.466444
2025-09-14 0.025798 0.066103 0.143085 0.287113 0.532844 0.914914 1.528089
2025-09-21 0.023699 0.063037 0.140056 0.286861 0.541026 0.940791 1.588511
2025-09-28 0.021783 0.060146 0.137124 0.286557 0.548994 0.966410 1.648987
2025-10-05 0.020423 0.058340 0.136130 0.289636 0.562674 1.001274 1.724338